Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.164387 0.193982 0.227090 0.266833 0.313208 0.365576 0.429163
2025-09-07 0.121322 0.159618 0.207024 0.269856 0.350785 0.451340 0.585596
2025-09-14 0.096157 0.137231 0.192050 0.270233 0.378503 0.522737 0.729012
2025-09-21 0.077988 0.119100 0.177509 0.266003 0.396063 0.579460 0.856810
2025-09-28 0.065463 0.106075 0.167003 0.264292 0.414821 0.637717 0.991321
2025-10-05 0.059281 0.101220 0.167229 0.277602 0.456220 0.732205 1.188584
2025-10-12 0.054944 0.098397 0.169837 0.294385 0.504278 0.841238 1.419575
2025-10-19 0.049741 0.093183 0.167601 0.302529 0.538709 0.931646 1.629827
2025-10-26 0.044137 0.086325 0.161481 0.302927 0.559587 1.001251 1.812059
2025-11-02 0.038071 0.077647 0.150881 0.293776 0.562223 1.039404 1.943298
2025-11-09 0.032337 0.068697 0.138514 0.279589 0.553653 1.056288 2.037507
2025-11-16 0.029102 0.064203 0.133938 0.279461 0.571002 1.121216 2.225282
2025-11-23 0.025094 0.057724 0.125040 0.270590 0.572221 1.159621 2.374326
2025-11-30 0.022746 0.054455 0.122266 0.273926 0.598471 1.249542 2.634732
2025-12-07 0.020452 0.050916 0.118387 0.274333 0.618610 1.329399 2.883738
2025-12-14 0.018106 0.046848 0.112742 0.270043 0.628074 1.388309 3.095889
2025-12-21 0.016248 0.043630 0.108524 0.268308 0.642754 1.459417 3.341074
2025-12-28 0.015563 0.043224 0.110774 0.281812 0.693303 1.612617 3.779764
2026-01-04 0.015115 0.043353 0.114315 0.298839 0.753988 1.794291 4.300264
2026-01-11 0.014210 0.042111 0.114290 0.307101 0.794824 1.935481 4.743623
2026-01-18 0.013003 0.039832 0.111309 0.307505 0.816550 2.034896 5.100523
2026-01-25 0.011497 0.036440 0.104926 0.298221 0.812927 2.074189 5.319178
2026-02-01 0.009965 0.032696 0.097041 0.283828 0.794370 2.075406 5.445643